Evaluating a stock market timing strategy

the case of RTE Asset Management

Authors

  • Ahmet Tezel Department of Finance, Haub School of Business, Saint Joseph's University, 5600 City Avenue, Philadelphia, PA 19131, USA
  • Ginette McManus Department of Finance, Haub School of Business, Saint Joseph's University, 5600 City Avenue, Philadelphia, PA 19131, USA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-0810(01)00082-8

Keywords:

Nonparametric and parametric performance- evaluation models, Risk-adjusted performance measures, Market timing

Abstract

Market timing is a popular active investment strategy that promises to beat the market. However, the evidence on the ability of timers to outperform the market is mixed. This paper provides strong supporting evidence of the timing ability of RTE Asset Management by investigating the implemented buy and sell recommendations derived from its proprietary computerized model over the 1979-1999 period and several subperiods. We use various performance-evaluation methodologies that investors can easily implement. The evidence obtained on market timing skills is essentially invariant to the evaluation method used if the analysis is performed over a long time period. Copyright 2001 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.

Downloads

Published

2001-12-30

How to Cite

Tezel, A., & McManus, G. (2001). Evaluating a stock market timing strategy: the case of RTE Asset Management. Financial Services Review, 10(1-4), 173–186. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-0810(01)00082-8

Issue

Section

New Original Submission