Does education affect how well students forecast the market?

Authors

  • Alexander Jr. Department of Finance, Clemson University, 314 Sirrine Hall, Clemson, SC 29634-1323, USA
  • Robert B. McElreath Department of Finance, Clemson University, 314 Sirrine Hall, Clemson, SC 29634-1323, USA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-0810(00)00043-3

Keywords:

Education, Expectations, Market forecasts

Abstract

This study examines the results of a student stock market forecasting project used in our basic and advanced investments classes. Students fail to outperform a random walk model over the entire period, but do perform well in some subperiods. Students receiving an above average grade in the basic investments class provide more accurate forecasts than all other groups of students. Further, poorer performing students tend to be more pessimistic in their expectations of the market. The results suggest that education improves the forecasting ability of students. © 1999 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.

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Published

1999-12-30

How to Cite

Alexander, J. C., & McElreath, R. B. (1999). Does education affect how well students forecast the market?. Financial Services Review, 8(4), 253–260. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1057-0810(00)00043-3

Issue

Section

New Original Submission