A Comparative Analysis of Retirement Portfolio Success Rates
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61190/fsr.v12i2.4759Keywords:
Retirement portfolio, Monte Carlo/overlapping periods, Sustainable withdrawal ratesAbstract
One of the risks faced by retirees is the possibility of outliving money saved for the retirement years. Knowing the sustainability of withdrawal rates from a portfolio, or at least the risks associaed with them, would greatly help retirees deal with this problem. Two procedures proposed to analyze the problem are Monte Carlo simulaition and the overlapping periods methodology. This study compares and contrasts the implications of these two procedures for sustainable withdrawal rates from a retirement portfolio. Under some conditions, the procedures produce similar results, but in others the differences are quite large.
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